METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Lightweight
VS
49%
Holobaugh
51%
Ogden
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Kurt
Kurt Holobaugh
"The Hurt"
22 – 10
5'11"70" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Trey
Trey Ogden
"Shamurai"
18 – 7
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 34
★ Official Result
Trey OgdenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kurt Holobaugh · UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ogden
→
Actual result
Ogden wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Holobaugh at 49% vs Ogden at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Holobaugh has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Risk flags

Holobaugh's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HolobaughOgden
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holobaugh
Ogden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holobaugh
Ogden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.1
33.5
31.2
Performance Avg
35.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
40
Holobaugh
Ogden
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
1.5
4.4
Style: Volume
9.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Holobaugh
Ogden
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holobaugh
Ogden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/25 fights
Holobaugh
Ogden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Holobaugh
Ogden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holobaugh
Ogden
Striking0.4 / 1.0Volume4.4 / 9.0Grappling5.2 / 2.4Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Holobaugh
Strike Zones
Ogden
Holobaugh
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Ogden
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holobaugh targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ogden absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ogden targets the head (75% of attacks) — Holobaugh absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holobaugh
RND
Ogden
0/0R00/0

Holobaugh · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jordan Leavitt
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Alexander Hernandez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Kaynan Kruschewsky
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Trey Ogden
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Sub · R2
Austin Hubbard
Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Ogden · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago Moises
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loik Radzhabov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Kurt Holobaugh
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Upcoming
Nikolas Motta
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Ignacio Bahamondes
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

News & Media

Kurt Holobaugh · Trey Ogden
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