METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Kallang, Singapore
26 Aug 2023
Bantamweight
VS
94%
Nakamura
6%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rinya NakamurawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Fernie Garcia · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nakamura
→
Actual result
Nakamura wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Nakamura is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 66 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nakamura has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NakamuraGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nakamura
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
67"
31+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nakamura
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.9
4.3
63.5
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
92
Momentum Score
0
Nakamura
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.6
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
3
Body
2
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance6
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Nakamura
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nakamura
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Nakamura
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nakamura
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nakamura
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NakamuraGarcia
Strike Zones
Nakamura
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nakamura targets the head (50% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nakamura
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Nakamura · Last 5
Upcoming
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