UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Kallang, Singapore
26 Aug 2023
Bantamweight
VS
93%
Nakamura
7%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RN
Rinya Nakamura
"Hybred"
10 – 1
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw31 yrsStriker
CFR 70
Fernie
Fernie Garcia
10 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nakamura

Nakamura is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 65 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nakamura has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.

Nakamura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Nakamura
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
67"
31+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nakamura
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.9
5.2
63.5
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
92
Momentum Score
0
Nakamura
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
28%
6.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
3
Body
2
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance6
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Nakamura
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nakamura
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Nakamura
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nakamura
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nakamura
Garcia
Striking6.6 / 0.0Volume5.6 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Nakamura
Strike Zones
Garcia
Nakamura
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY5LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY5LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nakamura targets the head (50% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nakamura
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0

Nakamura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.3W4.5W5.8W5.5L5.7W2023-022023-082024-022025-012025-08
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L6.6L7.2L3.9L2022-052022-112023-082024-02
WinLossTrend

Nakamura · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nathan FletcherRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Carlos VeraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Toshiomi KazamaRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

Garcia · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Hyder AmilRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Brady HiestandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Journey NewsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

News & Media

Rinya Nakamura · Fernie Garcia
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