METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Latifi
45%
Oleinik
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ilir LatifiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aleksei Oleinik · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Latifi
→
Actual result
Latifi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Latifi at 55% vs Oleinik at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Oleinik throws more volume but Latifi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Latifi's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleinik has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LatifiOleinik
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Latifi
Oleinik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+80"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Latifi
Oleinik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.6
26.5
48.4
Performance Avg
52.0
43
Quality of Victory
51
33
Momentum Score
39
Latifi
Oleinik
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance6
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Latifi
Oleinik
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Latifi
Oleinik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
4
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/77 fights
Latifi
Oleinik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
39
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Latifi
Oleinik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
89%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
7
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Latifi
Oleinik
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
LatifiOleinik
Strike Zones
Latifi
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedOleinik
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Latifi targets the head (90% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Oleinik targets the head (43% of attacks) — Latifi absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Latifi
RND
Oleinik
0/0R00/0
Latifi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Oleinik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Latifi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08