UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Latifi
45%
Oleinik
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IL
Ilir Latifi
"The Sledgehammer"
17 – 9
5'10"73" reachOrthodox43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 33
AO
Aleksei Oleinik
"The Boa Constrictor"
60 – 17
Submission Hunter48 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'2"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Latifi

This is a genuine toss-up — Latifi at 55% vs Oleinik at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Oleinik throws more volume but Latifi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Latifi's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oleinik has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Latifi
Oleinik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+80"
43+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Latifi
Oleinik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.6
26.5
48.4
Performance Avg
52.0
43
Quality of Victory
51
33
Momentum Score
39
Latifi
Oleinik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance6
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Latifi
Oleinik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Latifi
Oleinik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
4
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/77 fights
Latifi
Oleinik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
39
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Latifi
Oleinik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
89%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
7
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Latifi
Oleinik
Striking4.5 / 2.2Volume4.7 / 1.9Grappling2.8 / 6.5Wrestling2.0 / 4.5Submission2.2 / 7.8Pressure5.6 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
Latifi
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Latifi
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Oleinik
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Latifi targets the head (90% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Oleinik targets the head (43% of attacks) — Latifi absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Latifi
RND
Oleinik
0/0R00/0

Latifi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L5.5W5.6W5.5L3.5L6.7L5.1W4.5W5.8L2013-042015-072017-092020-022023-05
WinLossTrend

Oleinik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.7L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W4.5W3.3L1.8L6.0L5.0W5.5L2014-062017-112020-012022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Latifi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

Oleinik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5
Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Ilir Latifi · Aleksei Oleinik
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