METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Flyweight
VS
67%
Osbourne
33%
Gurule
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:54
★ Official Result
Ode OsbournewinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:54
def. Luis Gurule · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Osbourne
→
Actual result
Osbourne wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Osbourne holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Gurule has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Osbourne has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Osbourne's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gurule has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OsbourneGurule
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Osbourne
Gurule
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
73"+
Reach
64"
34
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Osbourne
Gurule
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
25.1
43.7
Performance Avg
23.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
87
Momentum Score
25
Osbourne
Gurule
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
0.6
4.0
Style: Volume
8.4
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
3
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Osbourne
Gurule
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Osbourne
Gurule
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Osbourne
Gurule
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
25
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Osbourne
Gurule
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Osbourne
Gurule
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
OsbourneGurule
Strike Zones
Osbourne
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGurule
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Osbourne targets the head (77% of attacks) — Gurule absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Gurule targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Osbourne absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Osbourne
RND
Gurule
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Osbourne · Last 5
Upcoming
Alibi IdirisUFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Luis GuruleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Jafel FilhoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Gurule · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Rei TsuruyaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel BarezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Alden CoriaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarDecision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · KO · R2
Ode OsbourneKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04