METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2012
Lightweight
VS
37%
Tibau
63%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KN
CFR 26
★ Official Result
Khabib NurmagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gleison Tibau · UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nurmagomedov
→
Actual result
Nurmagomedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Nurmagomedov holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Tibau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tibau's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TibauNurmagomedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tibau
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tibau
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
25.9
43.2
Performance Avg
68.2
34
Quality of Victory
47
74
Momentum Score
100
Tibau
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.1
35%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
3
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance4
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Tibau
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tibau
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/47 fights
Chin rating based on
13/29 fights
Tibau
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
13-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Tibau
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
54%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
5
11
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tibau
Nurmagomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
TibauNurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Tibau
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedNurmagomedov
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tibau targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tibau
RND
Nurmagomedov
0/0R00/0
Tibau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Tibau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 6.7Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Sub · R3
Dustin PoirierRating 6.6Submission
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R4
Conor McGregorRating 7.3Submission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R5
Al IaquintaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12