The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2010
Middleweight
VS
36%
Grove
64%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Grove has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grove has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Grove has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Grove's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Grove
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
72"
43+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grove
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
32.4
53.6
Performance Avg
50.8
53
Quality of Victory
40
52
Momentum Score
100
Grove
Maia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance9
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Grove
Maia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.1
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grove
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/40 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
Grove
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Grove
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
11
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grove
Maia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
GroveMaia
Strike Zones
Grove
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMaia
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grove targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (78% of attacks) — Grove absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grove
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0
Grove · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Grove · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R1
Jake RosholtRating 5Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
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