UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Welterweight
VS
58%
Cummings
42%
Prazeres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cummings
This is a genuine toss-up — Cummings at 58% vs Prazeres at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Cummings throws more volume but Prazeres connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Cummings
Prazeres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'6"
75"+
Reach
67"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cummings
Prazeres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
30.5
53.3
Performance Avg
48.3
41
Quality of Victory
33
63
Momentum Score
85
Cummings
Prazeres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
8
8
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance10
7Clinch1
0Ground0
Cummings
Prazeres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cummings
Prazeres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Cummings
Prazeres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
85
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cummings
Prazeres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
30%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cummings
Prazeres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
CummingsPrazeres
Strike Zones
Cummings
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedPrazeres
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cummings targets the body (53% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Prazeres targets the head (73% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cummings
RND
Prazeres
0/0R00/0
Cummings · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Prazeres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Cummings · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
Prazeres · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02