METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Oct 2021
Featherweight
VS
32%
Rosa
68%
Jackson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Damon JacksonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Charles Rosa · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jackson
→
Actual result
Jackson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jackson holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Rosa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rosa's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jackson has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RosaJackson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rosa
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+38
Switch
Stance
Switch
Rosa
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
40.5
36.3
Performance Avg
43.0
35
Quality of Victory
38
20
Momentum Score
59
Rosa
Jackson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
5.0
5.6
Style: Volume
5.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground2
Rosa
Jackson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosa
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
28
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/31 fights
Rosa
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Rosa
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
RosaJackson
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedJackson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
Jackson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerSubmission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Dan IgeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01