UFC 99: The Comeback
Cologne, Germany
13 Jun 2009
Welterweight
VS
59%
Swick
41%
Saunders
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:47
MS
Mike Swick
"Quick"
15 – 6
6'1"77" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
BS
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
22 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Swick

This is a genuine toss-up — Swick at 59% vs Saunders at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Saunders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Saunders has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Swick
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
77"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
15.6
55.0
Performance Avg
46.4
47
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
50
Swick
Saunders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
6
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance4
3Clinch5
2Ground0
Swick
Saunders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swick
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.9 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/35 fights
Swick
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Swick
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swick
Saunders
Striking6.3 / 4.3Volume3.7 / 3.6Grappling2.3 / 3.5Wrestling1.6 / 2.4Submission2.0 / 3.3Pressure6.9 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Swick
Strike Zones
Saunders
Swick
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD6BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Saunders
Attacking
0HEAD6BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the head (88% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the body (67% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swick
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Swick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L2.8L5.2W3.1L5.5L2005-042006-092008-122012-082015-07
WinLossTrend

Saunders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.7W2.8L2.8L5.0W2.8L1.5L2.9L3.1L2007-122010-032016-012018-092019-12
WinLossTrend

Swick · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11

Saunders · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06

News & Media

Mike Swick · Ben Saunders
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