METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Featherweight
VS
53%
Evloev
47%
Sterling
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Movsar
Movsar Evloev
20 – 0
5'7"72" reachOrthodox32 yrs10-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Aljamain
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
26 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 54
★ Official Result
Movsar EvloevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aljamain Sterling · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Evloev
→
Actual result
Evloev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Evloev at 53% vs Sterling at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sterling has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Sterling has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EvloevSterling
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evloev
Sterling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
71"
32+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evloev
Sterling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
54.2
55.0
Performance Avg
54.2
25
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
71
Evloev
Sterling
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
4.7
10.0
Style: Volume
6.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch1
2Ground1
Evloev
Sterling
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evloev
Sterling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
23/31 fights
Evloev
Sterling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Evloev
Sterling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evloev
Sterling
Striking2.0 / 2.7Volume10.0 / 6.5Grappling2.4 / 3.2Wrestling1.7 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.2Pressure3.0 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Evloev
Strike Zones
Sterling
Evloev
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Sterling
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evloev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sterling targets the head (75% of attacks) — Evloev absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evloev
RND
Sterling
0/0R00/0

Evloev · Last 5

Upcoming
Alexander Volkanovski
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Aljamain Sterling
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Arnold Allen
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Youssef Zalal
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian Ortega
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar Evloev
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin Kattar
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'Malley
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Movsar Evloev · Aljamain Sterling
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