UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Montreal, Canada
19 Apr 2008
Lightweight
VS
52%
Danzig
48%
Bocek
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Danzig
This is a genuine toss-up — Danzig at 52% vs Bocek at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Danzig has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Danzig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Danzig's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bocek has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Danzig
Bocek
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+75"
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Danzig
Bocek
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
16.8
46.0
Performance Avg
47.6
51
Quality of Victory
38
65
Momentum Score
48
Danzig
Bocek
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
1
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance3
2Clinch3
2Ground5
Danzig
Bocek
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Danzig
Bocek
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Danzig
Bocek
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
48
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Danzig
Bocek
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Danzig
Bocek
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
DanzigBocek
Strike Zones
Danzig
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedBocek
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Danzig targets the head (85% of attacks) — Bocek absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Bocek targets the head (55% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Danzig
RND
Bocek
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Danzig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Bocek · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Danzig · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Bocek · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Mike de la TorreRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Benson HendersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04