UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Petrino
49%
Pedro
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Petrino
This is a genuine toss-up — Petrino at 51% vs Pedro at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pedro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Pedro has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pedro has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Petrino
Pedro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
+79"
28+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrino
Pedro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
55.6
55.0
Performance Avg
56.6
40
Quality of Victory
58
71
Momentum Score
65
Petrino
Pedro
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
1
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Petrino
Pedro
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrino
Pedro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
11/15 fights
Petrino
Pedro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
65
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Petrino
Pedro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrino
Pedro
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
PetrinoPedro
Strike Zones
Petrino
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPedro
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (71% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Pedro targets the head (40% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrino
RND
Pedro
0/0R00/0
Petrino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Pedro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Petrino · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Steven AsplundRating 5.9Decision
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Pedro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Anton TurkaljRating 5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3Decision
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W · KO · R1
Harry HunsuckerRating 5KO/TKO
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