Jeremy Stephens vs Marcus Davis — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 125: Resolution

Las Vegas, USA

1 Jan 2011

Lightweight

71%

Stephens

29%

Davis

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 2:33

Jeremy Stephens

"Lil' Heathen"

29 – 23

5'9"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs7-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 45

Marcus Davis

"The Irish Hand Grenade"

22 – 11

Well-Rounded2-fight slide53 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"

CFR 19

★ Official Result

Jeremy StephenswinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:33

def. Marcus Davis · UFC 125: Resolution

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Stephens

→

Actual result

Stephens wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Stephens is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Stephens's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Davis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

StephensDavis

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Stephens

Davis

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"

Height

+5'10"

71"+

Reach

70"

40+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Stephens

Davis

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

45.0

18.7

41.1

Performance Avg

52.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Stephens

Davis

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.5

/ 10

4.5

/ 10

4.5

Style: Pressure

7.2

4.6

Style: Volume

3.0

7 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

8Distance9

0Clinch0

1Ground0

Stephens

Davis

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.1

/ 10

4.1

/ 10

0.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.9

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

4.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Stephens

Davis

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.3 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

3 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

36/52 fights

Chin rating based on

15/33 fights

Stephens

Davis

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

7-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R3

L · Sub · R3

W · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Stephens

Davis

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

47%

78%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stephens

Davis

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.5

1.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.1

0.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.9

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.4

4.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.2

4.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.0

Stephens

Strike Zones

Davis

Stephens

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Davis

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Stephens targets the head (67% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Davis targets the head (56% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stephens

RND

Davis

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Stephens · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

King Green

Submission

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L · Dec · R3

Mason Jones

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

L · Sub · R1

Mateusz Gamrot

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

L · KO · R2

Calvin Kattar

KO/TKO

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

L · Dec · R3

Yair Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10

Davis · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Jeremy Stephens

KO/TKO

UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01

L · Sub · R3

Nate Diaz

Submission

UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08

W · KO · R2

Jonathan Goulet

KO/TKO

UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05

L · KO · R1

Ben Saunders

KO/TKO

UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11

L · Dec · R3

Dan Hardy

Decision

UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06

News & Media

Jeremy Stephens · Marcus Davis

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