METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Newark, USA
7 Jun 2025
Bantamweight
VS
88%
Bautista
12%
Mix
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mario BautistawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Patchy Mix · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bautista
→
Actual result
Bautista wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Bautista is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bautista has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Bautista has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bautista's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BautistaMix
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bautista
Mix
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+70"
33
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Bautista
Mix
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.7
7.7
54.6
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
73
Momentum Score
0
Bautista
Mix
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
1.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
27%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
21
20
Body
4
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
65Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bautista
Mix
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bautista
Mix
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Bautista
Mix
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bautista
Mix
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bautista
Mix
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BautistaMix
Strike Zones
Bautista
Attacking
65 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMix
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
65 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bautista targets the head (55% of attacks) — Mix absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Mix targets the head (78% of attacks) — Bautista absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bautista
RND
Mix
0/0R00/0
Bautista · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Mix · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.9WinLossTrend
Bautista · Last 5
Upcoming
Cory SandhagenUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R2
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Patchy MixRating 4.5Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 5Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
Mix · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jakub WiklaczRating 7.2Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06