METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Newark, USA
7 Jun 2025
Bantamweight
VS
88%
Bautista
12%
Mix
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mario BautistawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Patchy Mix · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bautista
→
Actual result
Bautista wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Bautista is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bautista has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Risk flags
Bautista's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BautistaMix
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bautista
Mix
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+70"
33
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Bautista
Mix
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
7.7
54.5
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
73
Momentum Score
0
Bautista
Mix
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.3
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
21
20
Body
4
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
65Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bautista
Mix
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bautista
Mix
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Bautista
Mix
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bautista
Mix
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bautista
Mix
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BautistaMix
Strike Zones
Bautista
Attacking
65 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMix
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
65 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bautista targets the head (55% of attacks) — Mix absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Mix targets the head (78% of attacks) — Bautista absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bautista
RND
Mix
0/0R00/0
Bautista · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R2
Vinicius OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Patchy MixDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
Mix · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jakub WiklaczDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06