UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Heavyweight
VS
52%
Nzechukwu
48%
Barnett
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nzechukwu
This is a genuine toss-up — Nzechukwu at 52% vs Barnett at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nzechukwu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nzechukwu's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barnett has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nzechukwu
Barnett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
5'9"
83"+
Reach
75"
33+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nzechukwu
Barnett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.3
55.9
53.2
Performance Avg
46.3
51
Quality of Victory
55
88
Momentum Score
65
Nzechukwu
Barnett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
49%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
3
22
Body
2
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
50Distance12
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Nzechukwu
Barnett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nzechukwu
Barnett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Nzechukwu
Barnett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Nzechukwu
Barnett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nzechukwu
Barnett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
NzechukwuBarnett
Strike Zones
Nzechukwu
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedBarnett
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nzechukwu targets the head (55% of attacks) — Barnett absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Barnett targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Nzechukwu absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nzechukwu
RND
Barnett
0/0R00/0
Nzechukwu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Barnett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Nzechukwu · Last 5
Upcoming
Marcus BuchechaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Chris BarnettRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Barnett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabRating 6Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jake CollierRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
W · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

