UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Bantamweight
VS
14%
Hernandez
86%
Viana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Viana
Viana is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Viana has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Striking split: Hernandez throws more volume but Viana connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Viana has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hernandez
Viana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
Reach
67"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Viana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
14.8
0.0
Performance Avg
42.0
0
Quality of Victory
37
0
Momentum Score
45
Hernandez
Viana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
29%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
23
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hernandez
Viana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hernandez
Viana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/28 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Hernandez
Viana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Hernandez
Viana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Viana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
HernandezViana
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedViana
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (96% of attacks) — Viana absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Viana targets the head (82% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Viana
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Viana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Hernandez · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Hugo VianaRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Lucas MartinsRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
Viana · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramiro HernandezRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
TJ DillashawRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
W · KO · R1
Reuben DuranRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12