METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Tampa, USA
7 Feb 2009
Lightweight
VS
50%
Neer
50%
Danzig
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:36
★ Official Result
Josh NeerwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:36
def. Mac Danzig · UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neer
→
Actual result
Neer wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Neer at 50% vs Danzig at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Danzig has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Neer's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Danzig has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NeerDanzig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Neer
Danzig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neer
Danzig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
17.9
39.5
Performance Avg
46.0
39
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
65
Neer
Danzig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
5.3
3.5
Style: Volume
4.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
12Ground2
Neer
Danzig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Neer
Danzig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/52 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Neer
Danzig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Neer
Danzig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Neer
Danzig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
NeerDanzig
Strike Zones
Neer
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDanzig
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Neer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Danzig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Neer
RND
Danzig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Neer · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiUFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Danzig · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiDecision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoDecision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanDecision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10