UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
Newark, USA
30 Jan 2016
Featherweight
VS
75%
Jackson
25%
Makashvili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Damon
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
23 – 8
5'11"71" reachSwitch37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
LM
Levan Makashvili
"The Hornet"
15 – 2
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jackson

Jackson is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jackson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Jackson throws more volume but Makashvili connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jackson's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jackson
Makashvili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
68"
37
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Makashvili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
13.5
43.0
Performance Avg
35.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
59
Momentum Score
46
Jackson
Makashvili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
5
Body
8
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance11
4Clinch6
1Ground1
Jackson
Makashvili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jackson
Makashvili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Jackson
Makashvili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jackson
Makashvili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jackson
Makashvili
Striking2.7 / 1.0Volume5.0 / 9.0Grappling3.9 / 2.4Wrestling2.7 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Jackson
Strike Zones
Makashvili
Jackson
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD8BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Makashvili
Attacking
9HEAD8BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (58% of attacks) — Makashvili absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Makashvili targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jackson
RND
Makashvili
0/0R00/0

Jackson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L5.5W3.9L4.5W5.2W4.5W6.0W3.4L6.7L5.4W6.6L1.9L2014-082021-102022-092024-042024-11
WinLossTrend

Makashvili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L2015-052015-06
WinLossTrend

Jackson · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Dan IgeRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

Makashvili · Last 3

Upcoming
Damon Jackson
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Hacran DiasRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Mark EddivaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05

News & Media

Damon Jackson · Levan Makashvili
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