METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Cedar Rapids, USA
16 Jul 1999
Welterweight
VS
90%
Miletich
10%
Pederneiras
Win Probability
PM
Pat Miletich
"The Croatian Sensation"
297
5'10"Orthodox58 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 24
AP
Andre Pederneiras
11
Well-Rounded59 yrsOrthodox5'8"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Pat MiletichwinsR2 · 1:34
def. Andre Pederneiras · UFC 21: Return of the Champions

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miletich
Actual result
Miletich wins
Pre-fight analysis

Miletich is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miletich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.

Miletich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miletich's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MiletichPederneiras
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Miletich
Pederneiras
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
58+
Age
59
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miletich
Pederneiras
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.2
2.7
63.7
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Miletich
Pederneiras
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
0.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Miletich
Pederneiras
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miletich
Pederneiras
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
10/36 fights
Chin rating based on
1/2 fights
Miletich
Pederneiras
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · R2
Miletich
Pederneiras
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miletich
Pederneiras
Striking2.9 / 0.0Volume4.6 / 0.0Grappling3.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.7 / 0.0Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Miletich
Strike Zones
Pederneiras
Miletich
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Pederneiras
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miletich targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Pederneiras absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Pederneiras targets the head (50% of attacks) — Miletich absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miletich
RND
Pederneiras
0/0R00/0

Miletich · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.1W5.2W5.1W2.8L5.2W1.5L1998-031999-012000-122002-03
WinLossTrend

Miletich · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Matt LindlandRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03
W · KO · R2
Shonie CarterRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06
L · Sub · R3
Carlos NewtonRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
W · Sub · R2
Kenichi YamamotoRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 29: Defense of the Belts · 2000-12
W · Sub · R2
John AlessioRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06

Pederneiras · Last 1

L · R2
Pat MiletichRating 4.4
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07

News & Media

Pat Miletich · Andre Pederneiras
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