★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Cedar Rapids, USA
16 Jul 1999
Welterweight
VS
90%
Miletich
10%
Pederneiras
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miletich
Miletich is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miletich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Miletich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miletich's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miletich
Pederneiras
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
58+
Age
59
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miletich
Pederneiras
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.2
2.7
63.7
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Miletich
Pederneiras
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Miletich
Pederneiras
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miletich
Pederneiras
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/36 fights
Chin rating based on
1/2 fights
Miletich
Pederneiras
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · R2
Miletich
Pederneiras
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miletich
Pederneiras
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MiletichPederneiras
Strike Zones
Miletich
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPederneiras
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miletich targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Pederneiras absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Pederneiras targets the head (50% of attacks) — Miletich absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miletich
RND
Pederneiras
0/0R00/0
Miletich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Miletich · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt LindlandRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03
W · KO · R2
Shonie CarterRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06
L · Sub · R3
Carlos NewtonRating 2.8Submission
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
W · Sub · R2
Kenichi YamamotoRating 5.1Submission
UFC 29: Defense of the Belts · 2000-12
W · Sub · R2
John AlessioRating 5.2Submission
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06
Pederneiras · Last 1
L · R2
Pat MiletichRating 4.4UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07