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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
3 Feb 2024
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Petersen
54%
Pogues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Thomas
Thomas Petersen
"The Train"
11 – 4
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 34
Jamal
Jamal Pogues
11 – 5
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 39
★ Official Result
Jamal PogueswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thomas Petersen · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pogues
→
Actual result
Pogues wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Petersen at 46% vs Pogues at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Petersen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Petersen's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PetersenPogues
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petersen
Pogues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
31
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Petersen
Pogues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.1
39.4
35.0
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
50
Petersen
Pogues
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.2
66%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
19
Body
4
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
26Distance19
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Petersen
Pogues
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petersen
Pogues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Petersen
Pogues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
50
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Petersen
Pogues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petersen
Pogues
Striking1.0 / 1.0Volume9.0 / 9.0Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Petersen
Strike Zones
Pogues
Petersen
Attacking
6HEAD19BODY2LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Pogues
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD19BODY2LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petersen targets the body (70% of attacks) — Pogues absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Pogues targets the head (63% of attacks) — Petersen absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petersen
RND
Pogues
0/0R00/0

Petersen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.7L5.5W2.2L4.8W5.1L4.8W2024-022024-072025-022025-052025-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Pogues · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.6W6.6L4.5W6.0L2023-022023-072024-022025-02
WinLossTrend

Petersen · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Guilherme PatRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

Pogues · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Josh ParisianRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02

News & Media

Thomas Petersen · Jamal Pogues
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