UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
3 Feb 2024
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Petersen
54%
Pogues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pogues
This is a genuine toss-up — Petersen at 46% vs Pogues at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Petersen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petersen's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petersen
Pogues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
31
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Petersen
Pogues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.1
39.4
35.0
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
50
Petersen
Pogues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
66%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
19
Body
4
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
26Distance19
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Petersen
Pogues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petersen
Pogues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Petersen
Pogues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
50
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Petersen
Pogues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petersen
Pogues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
PetersenPogues
Strike Zones
Petersen
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedPogues
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petersen targets the body (70% of attacks) — Pogues absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Pogues targets the head (63% of attacks) — Petersen absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petersen
RND
Pogues
0/0R00/0
Petersen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pogues · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Petersen · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme PatRating 4.8Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
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