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UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
3 Feb 2024
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Petersen
55%
Pogues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Thomas
Thomas Petersen
"The Train"
114
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 30
Jamal
Jamal Pogues
115
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 36
★ Official Result
Jamal PogueswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thomas Petersen · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pogues
Actual result
Pogues wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Petersen at 45% vs Pogues at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Petersen's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PetersenPogues
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Petersen
Pogues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
31
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Petersen
Pogues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.5
35.5
32.1
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
50
Petersen
Pogues
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
1.5
8.9
Style: Volume
9.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
19
Body
4
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
26Distance19
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Petersen
Pogues
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petersen
Pogues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Petersen
Pogues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
50
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Petersen
Pogues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petersen
Pogues
Striking0.9 / 1.0Volume8.9 / 9.0Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.3 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Petersen
Strike Zones
Pogues
Petersen
Attacking
6HEAD19BODY2LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Pogues
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD19BODY2LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petersen targets the body (70% of attacks) — Pogues absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Pogues targets the head (63% of attacks) — Petersen absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petersen
RND
Pogues
0/0R00/0

Petersen · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Valter Walker
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme Pat
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Vitor Petrino
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale Mayes
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Shamil Gaziev
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

Pogues · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Hamdy Abdelwahab
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Thomas Petersen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Mick Parkin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Josh Parisian
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02

News & Media

Thomas Petersen · Jamal Pogues
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