UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
New York City, USA
3 Nov 2018
Lightweight
VS
46%
Frevola
54%
Vannata
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vannata
This is a genuine toss-up — Frevola at 46% vs Vannata at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Frevola has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Frevola's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vannata has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Frevola
Vannata
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
71"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Frevola
Vannata
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.6
45.9
45.8
Performance Avg
37.9
46
Quality of Victory
41
20
Momentum Score
70
Frevola
Vannata
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
3
Body
5
7
Leg
4
RangeRange
22Distance18
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Frevola
Vannata
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Frevola
Vannata
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Frevola
Vannata
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
70
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Frevola
Vannata
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Frevola
Vannata
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
FrevolaVannata
Strike Zones
Frevola
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedVannata
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Frevola targets the head (63% of attacks) — Vannata absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Vannata targets the head (50% of attacks) — Frevola absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Frevola
RND
Vannata
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Frevola · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Vannata · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Frevola · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyle NelsonRating 5.6Decision
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L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Vannata · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Darrius FlowersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Mike GrundyRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
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