METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Lightweight
VS
45%
Smith
55%
Mullarkey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:51
★ Official Result
Jamie MullarkeywinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:51
def. Devonte Smith · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mullarkey
→
Actual result
Mullarkey wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 45% vs Mullarkey at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mullarkey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithMullarkey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Mullarkey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Mullarkey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
38.1
49.5
Performance Avg
40.0
49
Quality of Victory
36
78
Momentum Score
51
Smith
Mullarkey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
3.7
1.0
Style: Volume
6.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
1
Body
15
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
6Distance14
1Clinch14
0Ground6
Smith
Mullarkey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Mullarkey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Smith
Mullarkey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Mullarkey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Mullarkey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SmithMullarkey
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedMullarkey
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (86% of attacks) — Mullarkey absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Mullarkey targets the body (44% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Mullarkey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Jamie MullarkeyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
W · R2
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L · KO · R1
Khama WorthyKO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R1
Dong Hyun MaKO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
Mullarkey · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaDecision
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L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyKO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
John MakdessiDecision
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