METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
30%
Davis
70%
Araujo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Viviane AraujowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alexis Davis · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Araujo
→
Actual result
Araujo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Araujo is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Davis's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DavisAraujo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Araujo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
68"
Reach
68"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Araujo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
49.0
39.7
Performance Avg
38.7
28
Quality of Victory
29
45
Momentum Score
84
Davis
Araujo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
2.6
8.1
Style: Volume
7.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
14
6
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance17
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Davis
Araujo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Davis
Araujo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Davis
Araujo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
84
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Davis
Araujo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Araujo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
DavisAraujo
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedAraujo
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (48% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Araujo targets the head (82% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Araujo
0/0R00/0
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