UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
30%
Davis
70%
Araujo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AD
Alexis Davis
21 – 11
5'6"68" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
Viviane
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
13 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'4"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Araujo

Araujo is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Davis's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Davis
Araujo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
68"
Reach
68"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Araujo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
49.0
39.7
Performance Avg
38.7
28
Quality of Victory
29
45
Momentum Score
84
Davis
Araujo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
14
6
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance17
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Davis
Araujo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Araujo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Davis
Araujo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
84
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Davis
Araujo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Davis
Araujo
Striking1.1 / 2.5Volume8.1 / 7.9Grappling3.1 / 2.1Wrestling2.2 / 1.4Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Davis
Strike Zones
Araujo
Davis
Attacking
11HEAD6BODY6LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Araujo
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD6BODY6LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (48% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Araujo targets the head (82% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Davis
RND
Araujo
0/0R00/0

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.2W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.8L5.5L6.2L4.5W5.5L4.8W2013-062015-042018-072021-062022-02
WinLossTrend

Araujo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.8L4.9W6.7L5.6L4.5W7.0L5.7W6.2L2019-052021-012023-032025-06
WinLossTrend

Davis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

Araujo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Alexis Davis · Viviane Araujo
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