METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Flyweight
VS
47%
Pantoja
53%
Van
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:26
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
306
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Joshua
Joshua Van
"The Fearless"
172
Well-Rounded7-fight win streak24 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 69
★ Official Result
Joshua VanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:26
def. Alexandre Pantoja · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Van
Van by TKO in round three — Pantoja lands takedowns early, cannot keep him there
Actual result
Van wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Joshua Van needed twenty-six seconds to take the flyweight division from Alexandre Pantoja, and the rematch asks whether that was a fluke or a verdict.

Twenty-six seconds. That is how long the first fight lasted, and it is the number every other number in this preview has to be read against. Alexandre Pantoja had defended the flyweight title repeatedly and beaten Kai Kara-France, Kai Asakura, Steve Erceg and Brandon Royval in a row before December 2025. Then Joshua Van hit him and the reign was over before the crowd had settled. The ratings have…

Pantoja intel

Van (17-2) is unbeaten across his last five, with knockouts of Pantoja in December and Tatsuro Taira in the fifth round in May, plus decisions over Brandon Royval and Rei Tsuruya. At 24 he is twelve years the younger man. His momentum score of 100.0 and 67.8 composite are both the higher figures here.

Van intel

Pantoja (30-6) had won four straight before Van stopped him, submitting Kai Kara-France in the third in June 2025 and Kai Asakura in the second in December 2024. His 48.5 quality-of-victory leads Van's 43.8, and a 0.57 finish rate reflects a career of ending fights on the mat rather than the feet.

Key angles

Whether Pantoja's 4.46 grappling can ever be applied — the first fight lasted twenty-six seconds

Pantoja's five-centimetre reach edge at identical height, and whether he uses it to enter safely

Van's 0.0 submission score against a man with two recent first- and second-round submissions

A twelve-year age gap, 24 against 36, in a division built on pace

Van's 100.0 momentum against a 48.5 quality-of-victory that still belongs to Pantoja

Risk flags

The head-to-head sample is twenty-six seconds long; it tells us almost nothing about rounds two and three

Van has never had to defend the chain wrestling and submission game that beat Kara-France and Asakura

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PantojaVan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Pantoja
Van
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
65"
36
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pantoja
Van
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
68.6
60.2
Performance Avg
63.7
49
Quality of Victory
46
65
Momentum Score
100
Pantoja
Van
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
5.5
5.0
Style: Volume
6.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Pantoja
Van
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
3.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pantoja
Van
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Pantoja
Van
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
100
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Pantoja
Van
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja
Van
Striking3.0 / 5.8Volume5.0 / 6.6Grappling4.5 / 1.4Wrestling3.1 / 1.0Submission4.3 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Pantoja
Strike Zones
Van
Pantoja
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Van
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (67% of attacks) — Van absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Van targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja
RND
Van
0/0R00/0

Pantoja · Last 5

Upcoming
Joshua Van
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Joshua Van
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-France
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai Asakura
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve Erceg
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

Van · Last 5

Upcoming
Alexandre Pantoja
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R5
Tatsuro Taira
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Alexandre Pantoja
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Brandon Royval
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bruno Silva
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Joshua Van
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