METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Lightweight
VS
63%
Denis
37%
Moises
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:44
★ Official Result
Benoit Saint DeniswinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:44
def. Thiago Moises · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Denis
→
Actual result
Denis wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Denis holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Moises has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Denis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Denis's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moises has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DenisMoises
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Denis
Moises
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
30+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Denis
Moises
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.7
39.7
60.2
Performance Avg
42.7
54
Quality of Victory
38
91
Momentum Score
39
Denis
Moises
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
9.1
Style: Pressure
5.0
1.4
Style: Volume
5.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
3
13
Body
3
16
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance5
8Clinch1
40Ground0
Denis
Moises
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Denis
Moises
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
14
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Denis
Moises
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
39
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Denis
Moises
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Denis
Moises
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
9.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
DenisMoises
Strike Zones
Denis
Attacking
60 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMoises
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
60 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Denis targets the head (52% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Moises targets the head (50% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Denis
RND
Moises
0/0R00/0
Denis · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Dan HookerKO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Mauricio RuffySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Kyle PrepolecSubmission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
Moises · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Jared GordonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Mitch RamirezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03