UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Lightweight
VS
64%
Denis
36%
Moises
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:44
CFR 71
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Denis
Denis holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Moises has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Denis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Denis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moises has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Denis
Moises
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
30+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Denis
Moises
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
39.7
62.5
Performance Avg
42.7
54
Quality of Victory
38
91
Momentum Score
39
Denis
Moises
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
0.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
44%
7.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
3
13
Body
3
16
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance5
8Clinch1
40Ground0
Denis
Moises
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Denis
Moises
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
14
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Denis
Moises
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
39
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Denis
Moises
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Denis
Moises
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
DenisMoises
Strike Zones
Denis
Attacking
60 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMoises
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
60 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Denis targets the head (52% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Moises targets the head (50% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Denis
RND
Moises
0/0R00/0
Denis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Moises · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Denis · Last 5
Upcoming
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