UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jun 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
57%
Reed
43%
Frey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Reed
This is a genuine toss-up — Reed at 57% vs Frey at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reed has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Reed's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Frey has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Reed
Frey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+65"
33+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Reed
Frey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.3
22.4
32.8
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
45
Reed
Frey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
10
Body
2
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance9
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Reed
Frey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reed
Frey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Reed
Frey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
45
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Reed
Frey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reed
Frey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
ReedFrey
Strike Zones
Reed
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedFrey
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reed targets the body (50% of attacks) — Frey absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Frey targets the head (50% of attacks) — Reed absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reed
RND
Frey
0/0R00/0
Reed · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Frey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Reed · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Denise GomesRating 4KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Jessica PenneRating 4.6Decision
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L · Sub · R2
Loopy GodinezRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jinh Yu FreyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R2
Loma LookboonmeeRating 3.7Submission
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Frey · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Viktoriia DudakovaRating 6.2Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Polyana VianaRating 1.8KO/TKO
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Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 4.5Decision
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