UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Toronto, Canada
20 Jan 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
60%
Robertson
40%
Viana
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
Robertson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Viana has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Viana has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Viana throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Robertson's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Viana has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Robertson
Viana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
63"
Reach
+67"
31+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Robertson
Viana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
40.1
55.0
Performance Avg
46.6
45
Quality of Victory
56
74
Momentum Score
0
Robertson
Viana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
39%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Robertson
Viana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robertson
Viana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/25 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Robertson
Viana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
0
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Robertson
Viana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Robertson
Viana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
RobertsonViana
Strike Zones
Robertson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedViana
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Robertson targets the head (87% of attacks) — Viana absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Viana targets the head (75% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Robertson
RND
Viana
0/0R00/0
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Viana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Viana · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alice ArdeleanRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Jaqueline AmorimRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Sub · R2
Iasmin LucindoRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Jinh Yu FreyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11

