UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
48%
Bannon
52%
Ardelean
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Shauna
Shauna Bannon
"Mama B"
7 – 3
5'5"65" reachSwitch32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Alice
Alice Ardelean
12 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'3"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ardelean

This is a genuine toss-up — Bannon at 48% vs Ardelean at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ardelean has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Bannon
Ardelean
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
62"
32+
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Bannon
Ardelean
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.4
50.0
38.3
Performance Avg
43.9
37
Quality of Victory
33
56
Momentum Score
63
Bannon
Ardelean
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
19
17
Body
5
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
47Distance25
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Bannon
Ardelean
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bannon
Ardelean
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Bannon
Ardelean
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bannon
Ardelean
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bannon
Ardelean
Striking0.8 / 1.2Volume4.8 / 6.5Grappling5.2 / 4.3Wrestling3.6 / 3.0Submission5.0 / 3.3Pressure4.7 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Bannon
Strike Zones
Ardelean
Bannon
Attacking
28HEAD17BODY5LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD5BODY2LEGS26 absorbed
Ardelean
Attacking
19HEAD5BODY2LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD17BODY5LEGS50 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bannon targets the head (56% of attacks) — Ardelean absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Ardelean targets the head (73% of attacks) — Bannon absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bannon
RND
Ardelean
0/0R00/0

Bannon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L5.2W5.5W3.5L4.6L2023-072024-072025-032025-092026-05
WinLossTrend

Ardelean · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.0L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5W2024-072024-102025-052025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Bannon · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Nicolle CaliariRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Sam HughesRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Puja TomarRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Alice ArdeleanRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Ardelean · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Montserrat Conejo RuizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Rayanne dos SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Melissa MartinezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Shauna BannonRating 6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Shauna Bannon · Alice Ardelean
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