UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Jan 2013
Middleweight
VS
52%
Markes
48%
Craig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Markes
This is a genuine toss-up — Markes at 52% vs Craig at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Craig has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Craig throws more volume but Markes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Markes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Craig has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Markes
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Markes
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
13.6
39.0
Performance Avg
38.1
25
Quality of Victory
35
70
Momentum Score
35
Markes
Craig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
61%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
1
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch4
0Ground9
Markes
Craig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Markes
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Markes
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Markes
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Markes
Craig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
MarkesCraig
Strike Zones
Markes
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedCraig
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Markes targets the body (100% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (53% of attacks) — Markes absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Markes
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0
Markes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Craig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Markes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Karlos VemolaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyman GoodRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke BarnattRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris LebenRating 4.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01