UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Welterweight
VS
46%
Ponzinibbio
54%
Salikhov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Salikhov
This is a genuine toss-up — Ponzinibbio at 46% vs Salikhov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ponzinibbio throws more volume but Salikhov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Salikhov has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ponzinibbio
Salikhov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
70"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Salikhov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
54.5
50.5
Performance Avg
51.4
44
Quality of Victory
43
46
Momentum Score
83
Ponzinibbio
Salikhov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
49%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
6
1
Body
8
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance15
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Ponzinibbio
Salikhov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Salikhov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Ponzinibbio
Salikhov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
83
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Ponzinibbio
Salikhov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
56%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Salikhov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
PonzinibbioSalikhov
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedSalikhov
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (82% of attacks) — Salikhov absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Salikhov targets the body (53% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Salikhov
0/0R00/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Salikhov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Salikhov · Last 5
Upcoming
Jake MatthewsUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Song KenanRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07