UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
48%
Petrovic
52%
Carolina
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ivana
Ivana Petrovic
7 – 3
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw31 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 44
Luana
Luana Carolina
"Dread"
11 – 5
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Carolina

This is a genuine toss-up — Petrovic at 48% vs Carolina at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Petrovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Carolina has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Carolina has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Petrovic
Carolina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
69"
31+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Petrovic
Carolina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.7
47.8
37.0
Performance Avg
41.5
45
Quality of Victory
29
22
Momentum Score
80
Petrovic
Carolina
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
1
Body
4
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance10
0Clinch2
0Ground3
Petrovic
Carolina
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrovic
Carolina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Petrovic
Carolina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Petrovic
Carolina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
17%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petrovic
Carolina
Striking0.5 / 2.9Volume0.5 / 7.9Grappling8.0 / 2.0Wrestling5.6 / 1.4Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Petrovic
Strike Zones
Carolina
Petrovic
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Carolina
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petrovic targets the head (50% of attacks) — Carolina absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Carolina targets the head (60% of attacks) — Petrovic absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petrovic
RND
Carolina
0/0R00/0

Petrovic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0106.1L5.5W6.2L5.7L2023-072024-042024-112025-05
WinLossTrend

Carolina · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W1.5L4.5W5.0W4.7L5.7L4.9W5.8W4.5W6.8L2019-052021-102023-072025-09
WinLossTrend

Petrovic · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Juliana MillerRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R3
Liang NaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

Carolina · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michelle MontagueRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · KO · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Ivana Petrovic · Luana Carolina
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