UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Berlin, Germany
20 Jun 2015
Middleweight
VS
93%
Askham
7%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:52
SA
Scott Askham
14 – 4
6'3"75" reachSouthpaw38 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 21
AD
Antonio Dos Santos
"Junior Alpha"
6 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Askham

Askham is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Askham has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Askham
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
38
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Askham
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
1.6
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Askham
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
57%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
2
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance6
3Clinch5
1Ground0
Askham
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Askham
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Askham
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Askham
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Askham
Santos
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume0.7 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Askham
Strike Zones
Santos
Askham
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Askham targets the head (64% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (82% of attacks) — Askham absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Askham
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Askham · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W6.4L5.5L2014-102015-062015-102016-022016-092017-03
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.1
0102.8L1.5L2014-122015-06
WinLossTrend

Askham · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad ScottRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
W · KO · R1
Chris DempseyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio Dos SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06

Santos · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Scott AskhamRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Daniel SarafianRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12

News & Media

Scott Askham · Antonio Dos Santos
← Back to fights