UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Paris, France
28 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
60%
Klein
40%
Roberts
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Klein
Klein holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Roberts has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Klein has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Roberts has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Klein
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+73"
31+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Klein
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.8
39.9
49.3
Performance Avg
40.8
34
Quality of Victory
38
99
Momentum Score
53
Klein
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
6
7
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance8
2Clinch2
2Ground1
Klein
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Klein
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/29 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Klein
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
53
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Klein
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Klein
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
KleinRoberts
Strike Zones
Klein
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Klein targets the head (50% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the head (55% of attacks) — Klein absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Klein
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Klein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Klein · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 5.1Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
AJ CunninghamRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz RebeckiRating 2.1Submission
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · KO · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
Upcoming
Kevin CroomUFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

