UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Aug 2017
Lightweight
VS
52%
Mendoza
48%
Rinaldi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mendoza
This is a genuine toss-up — Mendoza at 52% vs Rinaldi at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mendoza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Striking split: Mendoza throws more volume but Rinaldi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Mendoza's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mendoza
Rinaldi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
72"
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendoza
Rinaldi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
15.3
46.0
Performance Avg
39.7
60
Quality of Victory
40
22
Momentum Score
43
Mendoza
Rinaldi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
33%
Strike Accuracy
36%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mendoza
Rinaldi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mendoza
Rinaldi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/15 fights
Chin rating based on
5/21 fights
Mendoza
Rinaldi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Mendoza
Rinaldi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendoza
Rinaldi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MendozaRinaldi
Strike Zones
Mendoza
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedRinaldi
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendoza targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rinaldi absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rinaldi targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mendoza absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendoza
RND
Rinaldi
0/0R00/0
Mendoza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Rinaldi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Mendoza · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Devin PowellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
L · Sub · R1
Jordan RinaldiRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Vernon Ramos HoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Rinaldi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 4.5Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
W · Sub · R1
Alvaro Herrera MendozaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Abel TrujilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05