UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Soszynski
43%
Pokrajac
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Soszynski
This is a genuine toss-up — Soszynski at 57% vs Pokrajac at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pokrajac has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Soszynski throws more volume but Pokrajac connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Soszynski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pokrajac has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Soszynski
Pokrajac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
48
Age
+47
Open Stance
Stance
Orthodox
Soszynski
Pokrajac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
14.6
50.5
Performance Avg
43.2
40
Quality of Victory
50
75
Momentum Score
33
Soszynski
Pokrajac
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
20
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch5
0Ground9
Soszynski
Pokrajac
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Soszynski
Pokrajac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/38 fights
Chin rating based on
13/41 fights
Soszynski
Pokrajac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
33
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Soszynski
Pokrajac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soszynski
Pokrajac
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
SoszynskiPokrajac
Strike Zones
Soszynski
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedPokrajac
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soszynski targets the head (75% of attacks) — Pokrajac absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Pokrajac targets the head (95% of attacks) — Soszynski absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soszynski
RND
Pokrajac
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Soszynski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Pokrajac · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Soszynski · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Igor PokrajacRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike MassenzioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R2
Stephan BonnarRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 4.5UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Pokrajac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan JimmoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Joey BeltranUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12