METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Middleweight
VS
46%
Brundage
54%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:16
★ Official Result
Michal OleksiejczukwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:16
def. Cody Brundage · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleksiejczuk
→
Actual result
Oleksiejczuk wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brundage at 46% vs Oleksiejczuk at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Brundage's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrundageOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.2
52.9
49.0
Performance Avg
54.0
53
Quality of Victory
53
26
Momentum Score
52
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.5
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
7.1
Style: Pressure
7.3
0.9
Style: Volume
2.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
13
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
24
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
52
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
80%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
BrundageOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Brundage
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (87% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brundage
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
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