UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Middleweight
VS
45%
Brundage
55%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oleksiejczuk
This is a genuine toss-up — Brundage at 45% vs Oleksiejczuk at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brundage's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.2
54.6
49.0
Performance Avg
55.3
53
Quality of Victory
53
26
Momentum Score
52
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
54%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
13
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
52
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
80%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brundage
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
BrundageOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Brundage
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (87% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brundage
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Brundage · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
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