The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Franklin Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Nov 2005
Welterweight
VS
87%
Burkman
13%
Morgan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:21
JB
CFR 14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Burkman
Burkman is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Burkman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Burkman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Burkman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burkman
Morgan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burkman
Morgan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
2.1
34.7
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
80
Momentum Score
0
Burkman
Morgan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
28%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Burkman
Morgan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burkman
Morgan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/44 fights
Chin rating based on
2/30 fights
Burkman
Morgan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
0
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Burkman
Morgan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burkman
Morgan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BurkmanMorgan
Strike Zones
Burkman
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMorgan
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burkman targets the head (75% of attacks) — Morgan absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Morgan targets the body (100% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burkman
RND
Morgan
0/0R00/0
Burkman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Morgan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Burkman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
Morgan · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Forrest PetzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08
L · KO · R1
Joshua BurkmanRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Franklin Finale · 2005-11