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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
62%
Santos
38%
Agapova
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:27
Luana
Luana Santos
102
5'6"67" reachOrthodox26 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 67
Mariya
Mariya Agapova
"Money Mashka"
105
Submission Hunter3-fight slide29 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'6"
CFR 41
★ Official Result
Luana SantoswinsSubmissionR1 · 3:27
def. Mariya Agapova · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
Actual result
Santos wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Agapova has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Agapova has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SantosAgapova
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Santos
Agapova
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
26+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Santos
Agapova
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.3
40.9
58.1
Performance Avg
43.0
40
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
33
Santos
Agapova
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.7
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Santos
Agapova
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Agapova
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Santos
Agapova
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Santos
Agapova
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Agapova
Striking3.4 / 0.7Volume5.7 / 0.7Grappling3.9 / 8.0Wrestling2.7 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure6.1 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Santos
Strike Zones
Agapova
Santos
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Agapova
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Agapova absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Agapova targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Agapova
0/0R00/0

Santos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Karol Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Melissa Croden
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
Tainara Lisboa
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'Neill
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Sub · R1
Mariya Agapova
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Agapova · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Luana Santos
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Sub · R2
Gillian Robertson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R2
Maryna Moroz
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Sub · R3
Sabina Mazo
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Shana Dobson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08

News & Media

Luana Santos · Mariya Agapova
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