UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
63%
Santos
37%
Agapova
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:27
Luana
Luana Santos
10 – 2
5'6"67" reachOrthodox26 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 69
Mariya
Mariya Agapova
"Money Mashka"
10 – 5
Submission Hunter3-fight slide29 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'6"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Agapova has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Agapova throws more volume but Santos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Agapova has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Santos
Agapova
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
26+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Santos
Agapova
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.7
40.9
59.0
Performance Avg
43.0
43
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
33
Santos
Agapova
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Santos
Agapova
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Agapova
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Santos
Agapova
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Santos
Agapova
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Agapova
Striking3.7 / 0.7Volume4.9 / 0.7Grappling4.2 / 8.0Wrestling2.9 / 5.6Submission4.0 / 10.0Pressure6.7 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Santos
Strike Zones
Agapova
Santos
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Agapova
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Agapova absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Agapova targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Agapova
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.5W5.3W6.7L5.7W5.6W2023-082023-122024-072024-082025-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Agapova · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.5W3.3L4.0L3.2L2020-062020-082021-102022-032022-092024-07
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

Upcoming
Karol Rosa
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Melissa CrodenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
Tainara LisboaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Sub · R1
Mariya AgapovaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Agapova · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Luana SantosRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Sub · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R2
Maryna MorozRating 3.3
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Sub · R3
Sabina MazoRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Shana DobsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08

News & Media

Luana Santos · Mariya Agapova
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