UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Women's Strawweight
VS
41%
Penne
59%
Andrade
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Andrade
This is a genuine toss-up — Penne at 41% vs Andrade at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Penne
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
67"+
Reach
62"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
51.0
34.1
Performance Avg
49.4
35
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
79
Penne
Andrade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
3.1
32%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
40
0
Body
13
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance29
0Clinch24
0Ground0
Penne
Andrade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Penne
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Penne
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
79
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Penne
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penne
Andrade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
PenneAndrade
Strike Zones
Penne
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedAndrade
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (100% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (75% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penne
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
Penne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Penne · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5Decision
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Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
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