★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 39: The Warriors Return
Uncasville, USA
27 Sept 2002
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Rodriguez
45%
Couture
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 3:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 55% vs Couture at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Couture has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rodriguez
Couture
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
Reach
75"
48+
Age
62
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Couture
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
20.6
62.8
Performance Avg
62.4
57
Quality of Victory
60
91
Momentum Score
72
Rodriguez
Couture
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
62%
Strike Accuracy
61%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch2
12Ground0
Rodriguez
Couture
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Couture
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/78 fights
Chin rating based on
24/30 fights
Rodriguez
Couture
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Couture
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
63%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Couture
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
9.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
RodriguezCouture
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedCouture
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Couture absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Couture targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Couture
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Couture · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pedro RizzoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Tim SylviaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
W · KO · R5
Randy CoutureRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R2
Tsuyoshi KohsakaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 37: High Impact · 2002-05
W · KO · R3
Jeff MonsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
Couture · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
James ToneyRating 5Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Mark ColemanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08