METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2011
Lightweight
VS
37%
Clarke
63%
Cholish
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:36
★ Official Result
John CholishwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:36
def. Mitch Clarke · UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cholish
→
Actual result
Cholish wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Cholish holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Clarke has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cholish has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Clarke's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ClarkeCholish
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Clarke
Cholish
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Clarke
Cholish
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
18.7
33.8
Performance Avg
46.3
37
Quality of Victory
55
10
Momentum Score
43
Clarke
Cholish
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
8.0
4.6
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
31
1
Body
1
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
10Distance21
2Clinch2
0Ground15
Clarke
Cholish
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Clarke
Cholish
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Clarke
Cholish
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Clarke
Cholish
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Clarke
Cholish
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
ClarkeCholish
Strike Zones
Clarke
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedCholish
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Clarke targets the head (58% of attacks) — Cholish absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Cholish targets the head (82% of attacks) — Clarke absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Clarke
RND
Cholish
0/0R00/0
Clarke · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alex WhiteKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R1
Joe DuffySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
W · Sub · R2
Al IaquintaSubmission
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireDecision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Cholish · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauSubmission
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloDecision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeKO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12