METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Welterweight
VS
79%
Usman
21%
Yakovlev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AY
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Kamaru UsmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alexander Yakovlev · UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Usman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Usman is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Yakovlev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UsmanYakovlev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Usman
Yakovlev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
76"+
Reach
74"
39+
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Usman
Yakovlev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
15.4
59.6
Performance Avg
40.2
46
Quality of Victory
45
55
Momentum Score
36
Usman
Yakovlev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
5.7
7.1
Style: Volume
3.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Usman
Yakovlev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Yakovlev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/25 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Usman
Yakovlev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
36
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Usman
Yakovlev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Yakovlev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
UsmanYakovlev
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedYakovlev
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (86% of attacks) — Yakovlev absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Yakovlev
0/0R00/0
Usman · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
Yakovlev · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezSubmission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Alex Da SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Zak CummingsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07