METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
41%
Santos
59%
Chandler
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yana SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chelsea Chandler · UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chandler
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 41% vs Chandler at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chandler has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosChandler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Chandler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
68"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Santos
Chandler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.0
53.2
38.3
Performance Avg
47.8
25
Quality of Victory
46
55
Momentum Score
59
Santos
Chandler
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.8
Style: Pressure
6.2
9.2
Style: Volume
3.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
12
15
Body
13
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance9
15Clinch16
0Ground0
Santos
Chandler
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Chandler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/10 fights
Santos
Chandler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
59
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Santos
Chandler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Chandler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
SantosChandler
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedChandler
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the body (54% of attacks) — Chandler absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Chandler targets the body (52% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Chandler
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Santos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Holly HolmDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
Chandler · Last 5
Upcoming
Melissa CrodenUFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
W · Sub · R1
Priscila CachoeiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Joselyne EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03