UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Lightweight
VS
36%
Lee
64%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 0:28
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18 – 8
5'9"77" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Charles
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37 – 11
Pressure Fighter2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Lee has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Lee throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lee's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lee
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
77"+
Reach
74"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lee
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
63.3
48.3
Performance Avg
58.6
42
Quality of Victory
51
53
Momentum Score
100
Lee
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lee
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
4
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Lee
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Lee
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
84%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
17
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Oliveira
Striking3.0 / 3.0Volume4.1 / 2.7Grappling3.8 / 5.8Wrestling2.6 / 4.1Submission3.6 / 6.8Pressure5.6 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Lee
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Lee
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (90% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.6L4.5W6.0W5.2W5.2W5.8W3.3L5.0W5.5L3.6L5.0W4.2L6.4L3.1L2014-022015-122017-062019-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5W1.9L1.5L5.0W5.2W2.0L5.5L5.5W5.2W5.0W5.5W2.6L5.0W4.0L2.8L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.4W5.4W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.3W5.0W5.9W6.6W6.6W4.1L6.0W7.1L5.3W3.9L6.2W5.6W2010-082014-062018-062021-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Oliveira · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Kevin Lee · Charles Oliveira
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