METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Heavyweight
VS
44%
Tybura
56%
Romanov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Marcin TyburawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alexandr Romanov · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Romanov
→
Actual result
Tybura wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 44% vs Romanov at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Romanov has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TyburaRomanov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tybura
Romanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tybura
Romanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.0
50.5
44.3
Performance Avg
52.6
37
Quality of Victory
41
43
Momentum Score
70
Tybura
Romanov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
6.1
5.7
Style: Volume
4.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
7
6
Body
5
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
29Distance13
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Tybura
Romanov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tybura
Romanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Tybura
Romanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
70
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Tybura
Romanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tybura
Romanov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
TyburaRomanov
Strike Zones
Tybura
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedRomanov
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the head (67% of attacks) — Romanov absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Romanov targets the head (47% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tybura
RND
Romanov
0/0R00/0
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Ante DelijaKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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W · R2
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Romanov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovDecision
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L · KO · R1
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08