UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Welterweight
VS
57%
Palhares
43%
Pierce
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palhares
This is a genuine toss-up — Palhares at 57% vs Pierce at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Pierce throws more volume but Palhares connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Palhares's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Palhares
Pierce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
46
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Palhares
Pierce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
16.5
54.0
Performance Avg
48.0
46
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
38
Palhares
Pierce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Palhares
Pierce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
4.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Palhares
Pierce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Palhares
Pierce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
38
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Palhares
Pierce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Palhares
Pierce
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
PalharesPierce
Strike Zones
Palhares
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPierce
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pierce targets the head (100% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Palhares
RND
Pierce
0/0R00/0
Palhares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Pierce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Palhares · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
Pierce · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10