UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Atlanta, USA
13 Apr 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Anders
51%
Jr.
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jr.
This is a genuine toss-up — Anders at 49% vs Jr. at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jr. has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anders
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Anders
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
53.7
45.4
Performance Avg
52.0
41
Quality of Victory
48
79
Momentum Score
77
Anders
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
10
2
Body
4
0
Leg
16
RangeRange
11Distance30
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Anders
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anders
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Anders
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
77
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Anders
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Jr.
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
AndersJr.
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedJr.
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the head (82% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
0/0R40/0
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jr. · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
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Jr. · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R5
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L · KO · R4
Alex PereiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
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