METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Evans
55%
Davis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Phil Davis · UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Evans wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 45% vs Davis at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Evans has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Evans has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+79"
46
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
18.8
53.1
Performance Avg
50.2
46
Quality of Victory
34
25
Momentum Score
64
Evans
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
34%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
4
0
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance8
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Evans
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/21 fights
Evans
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
64
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Evans
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
EvansDavis
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedDavis
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (92% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (44% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Evans · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Davis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04