METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Evans
55%
Davis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Phil Davis · UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Evans wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 45% vs Davis at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Evans has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+79"
46
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
18.8
53.1
Performance Avg
50.2
46
Quality of Victory
34
25
Momentum Score
64
Evans
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
4.6
5.8
Style: Volume
6.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
4
0
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance8
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Evans
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/21 fights
Evans
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
64
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Evans
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
EvansDavis
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedDavis
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (92% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (44% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Davis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraDecision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonDecision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaDecision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesDecision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04