UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
69%
Teixeira
31%
Anderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
Teixeira holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Anderson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Teixeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Anderson throws more volume but Teixeira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anderson has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Teixeira
Anderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+79"
46
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Teixeira
Anderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
18.8
58.4
Performance Avg
50.1
51
Quality of Victory
39
59
Momentum Score
98
Teixeira
Anderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Teixeira
Anderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Anderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
15/19 fights
Teixeira
Anderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Teixeira
Anderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
30%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Anderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
TeixeiraAnderson
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedAnderson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Anderson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Anderson
0/0R00/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Anderson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04