UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
Toronto, Canada
8 Dec 2018
Featherweight
VS
76%
Dawodu
24%
Bochniak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
HD
Hakeem Dawodu
"Mean"
13 – 4
5'8"73" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
KB
Kyle Bochniak
"Killer B"
8 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dawodu

Dawodu is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dawodu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Dawodu
Bochniak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
70"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dawodu
Bochniak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
12.0
41.5
Performance Avg
26.4
29
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
50
Dawodu
Bochniak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
30%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
17
17
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
44Distance16
3Clinch2
0Ground2
Dawodu
Bochniak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dawodu
Bochniak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
90
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Dawodu
Bochniak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dawodu
Bochniak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dawodu
Bochniak
Striking2.9 / 0.6Volume7.9 / 8.6Grappling2.0 / 2.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 0.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Dawodu
Strike Zones
Bochniak
Dawodu
Attacking
26HEAD17BODY4LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Bochniak
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD17BODY4LEGS47 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dawodu targets the head (55% of attacks) — Bochniak absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Bochniak targets the head (85% of attacks) — Dawodu absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dawodu
RND
Bochniak
0/0R00/0

Dawodu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0101.5L4.5W4.5W5.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L4.5W5.7L6.0L2018-032019-072021-062023-08
WinLossTrend

Bochniak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.6L6.6L2016-012017-072018-042019-10
WinLossTrend

Dawodu · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 5
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09

Bochniak · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Zabit MagomedsharipovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07

News & Media

Hakeem Dawodu · Kyle Bochniak
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